Tuesday, November 17, 2009
Forex Trading Advantages
The wonderful offerings of forex trading online that you can take advantage of are: it has no commissions, no clearing fees, no brokerage fees and no government fees. This online business also eradicates middlemen that lets you trade directly through your computer and reliable internet connection. Because it is twenty hours a day, five times a week operational, you can enjoy the flexibility and availability of trading anytime you wish to play your cards. Furthermore, trading online has a very low transaction cost that is recognized to be less than one percent when calculated under normal market stipulations.
So, what are you waiting for? Start researching about the enormous and broad money making opportunity through online forex trading.
Forex and Gold Technical Update
Forex and Gold Technical Update
Rupee : Rupee bounced back from 48.40 levels as expected. The bias still remains weak for a target of 49.20 plus. Exporters can start booking 48.85 onwards and increase bookings every 10 paise . Bearish. (USD/INR : 48.82)Euro : Euro has broken the 1.4320 levels and picked up momentum again. Immediate term bias slightly bullsh since it could not break 1.40 levels and picked up again. We have to be careful since all the charts are overbought. The weekly trend which determines the medium term view of euro would be broken ONLY once euro stays below 1.3852. Look at going longs at 1.42 levels . (EUR/USD 1.4292)
Sterling : Cable was unable to hold above 1.6625 levels on friday and fell down again despite an increased Dow and Euro. . Strong resistance near 1.6610 levels . We can go long near 1.6350 levels for intraday gains. Only a break of 1.6200-1.6250 would confirm a trend reversal for the pair and target 1.58 again. (GBP/USD 1.6402) . Neutral
Yen : Yen has again entered the weekly triangle consolidation pattern between 92 to 98 levels. Risk aversion and Risk appetite has been playing sea-saw since last couple of months. The triangle pattern is very much visible within the weekly range. Buy at dips close to 93 and sell at 97-98 levels remains the strategy. (USD/JPY 93.94) Rangebound
Aud : Aud has again picked up momentum with increased gold and crude prices. The sell off in commodity prices was reversed in the last 2-3 days. The immediate strategy would be to buy on dips.Only a continous move below 0.8150 would break the trendline and stand bearish for the pair. (AUD/USD -0.8354) In Correction Mode
Gold : Gold has also picked up amazing momentum lately .Bullish only above 960 dollar otherwise rangebound.(Gold- $944.22). Rangebound
Dollar Index : The Dollar Index (basket against 6 currencies with EUR accounting for 57% of the basket) broke the 78.23 support. It suggests that rebound from 77.43 is possibly in corrective three wave structure which in turn indicates that whole medium term fall from 89.62 is not completed yet. Nevertheless we would expect a very strong support near 76 levels and bring a reversal. We need a break of 79.51 is needed to revive the case that dollar index has bottomed out.(Dollar Index - 78.21) Bearish
India Forex
http://www.indiaforex.in
DISCLAIMER
These views/ forecasts/ suggestions, though proferred with the best of intentions, are based on our reading of the market at the time of writing. They are subject to change without notice.Though the information sources are believed to be reliable, the information is not guaranteed for accuracy. Those acting in the market on the basis of these are themselves responsible for any profits or losses that might occur, without recourse to us. World financial markets, and especially the Foreign Exchange markets, are inherently risky and it is assumed that those who trade these markets are fully aware of the risk of real loss involved.
FOREX Fundamental Analysis|Forex Market Fundamental Analysis
FOREX Fundamental Analysis
Most FOREX traders rely on analysis to make plan their trading strategy. This article will discuss fundamental analysis. The other common form of analysis is technical analysis. After reading this article you should have a better understanding of fundamental analysis and how to use it as part of your FOREX strategy.Political and economic changes are the basis of fundamental analysis. These can frequently affect currency prices. Traders that take advantage of fundamental analysis will gather their information from a variety of news sources. They are looking for information about unemployment forecasts, political ideologies, economic policies, inflation and growth rates.
Fundamental analysis will provide you with an overview of currency movements and a broad picture of the economic conditions. Most traders then will combine their fundamental analysis with technical analysis to plot actual entrance and exit points as well as confirming the information provided by their fundamental analysis.
Just like most markets the FOREX market is controlled by supply and demand. Many economic factors can affect the supply and demand but the two most critical ones are interest rates and the strength of the economy. The over all strength of the economy is affected by changes in the GDP, trade balances and the amount of foreign investment.
There are many economic indicators released by government and academic sources. These indicators are usually released on a monthly basis but will sometimes be released weekly. These are pretty reliable measures of economic health and are closely followed by all traders.
There are many indicators that are released but some of the most important and commonly followed are : interest rates, international trade, CPI, durable goods orders, PPI, PMI and retail orders.
Interest Rates - can cause a currency to either strengthen or weaken depending on the direction of movement. In some cases high interest rates will attract foreign money, however high interest rates will frequently cause stock market investors to sell of their portfolios. They do this believing that the higher cost of borrowing money will adversely affect many companies. If enough investors sell of their holdings in can cause a downturn in the market and negatively affect the economy.
Which of these two affects will take place depends on many complex factors, but there is usually an agreement among economic observers as to how the current change in interest rates will affect the general economy and the price of the currency.
International Trade - If there is a trade deficit (more items imported than exported) it is usually considered a negative indicator. When there is a trade deficit it means that more money is leaving the country to buy foreign goods than is entering the country and this can have a devaluing effect on the currency. Usually though trade imbalances are already factored into the market consideration. If a country normally operates with a trade deficit then there should not be an affect on the currency price. The currency price will normally only be effected by trade differences when the deficit is greater than the market expected.
The measurement of the cost of living (CPI) and the cost of producing goods (PPI) are a couple of other important indicators. You should also watch the GDP which measures the value of all the goods produced in a country and the M2 Money Supply which measures the total amount of currency for a country.
In the US alone there are 28 major indicators, these can have a strong effect on the financial market and should be closely watched. This information can be found many places on the internet and is provided by many brokers.
Top 3 Forex Tips From Forex Veterans
The first tip is to apply the 80-20 rule and every Forex investor should know this rule if they are really serious about making it big in them market. This rule does not only apply in Forex but also in all aspects of business and trade, which means that it can be thought as a universal trading principle you need to follow when either starting a business or investing in a commodity.
According to the rule, whatever Forex activity that you are involved in, 20% of your trades should reap 80% of the results. Which means, a small percentage of your trades should reap the largest amounts of profit for you. Do not make the mistake of other Forex traders in the sense that they trade way too much - following an unfounded belief that more presence in the market would mean a greater chance for them to earn a profit. This is more of an urban myth than anything else and should not be followed. The frequency of your trade is not the determinant for success, it is the quality of your trades that are much more important.
Do not make the mistake of diversifying too much; which means letting your portfolio expand naturally without you forcing yourself onto different market perspectives. Stretching yourself out too think can mean the difference between micro managing all your investments to losing control of your money and seeing the losses slowly creep in. If your one investment portfolio is giving you good returns and has high odds on you winning out everytime, you should not dilute this potential just because you feel the need to follow the crowd and diversify.Diversifying is always a good thing, but do not force it. Let it come naturally and when the market opens up and gives you the opportunity, then take it by all means.
Last but not least, you should also take more risks when it comes to the FX market.The right way to do it is to make decisions that many would fear of. But of course, you have to back this on founded research and advice from your broker as well. As long as the potential to make money is there, you should mine it. Increase your risk margins and get out there. There are other markets with less risk factors (like property) that will give you the same gains if you are being conservative in the FX market. You are in a market where risk is paid multiple times when the conditions are right. Be greedy when others are fearful and be fearful when others are greedy.
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What's the Best Forex Strategy?
The moment that the first bell rang on the stock market floor, traders were coming up with strategies to beat the market. Obviously they didn't have the technology that most of us have at our disposal. They didn't have the thousand dollar charting platforms that so many traders are overpaying for, just for the privilege of using them, nowadays. So how do you think the successful traders of the past made their money?
Well, one way was through fundamental analysis. They were able to comprehend a company's financial statements such as balance sheets, income statements, statement of cash flows, etc. to know a bargain when they saw one. But these kind of people would be categorized as investors, not traders. Traders generally believed in technical analysis over fundamental analysis.
So how did traders of that generation made their money? Simple. They understood the concept of price action. Plenty of floor traders became rich just by paying attention to how the other floor traders were trading the respective stock.
How come a concept as simple as price action has been pushed back in favor of all the technological bells and whistles that most people use in their day to day trading?
People, today somehow feel that the best forex strategy has to be in these maze of indicators,colors, noises,and whatever else is en vogue nowadays. Its really quite sad that it has gotten to this point.
Traders used to pride themselves on how they were able to truly understand the market, but in the present time we live in, they are more worried about understanding what their indicators are telling them.
If you want to learn forex, then its a good idea to learn from our ancestors. The less is more approach has and will always result in more success. To find out more about price action and to get a forex trading education, make sure to visit Trading In The Buff.
Profitable Forex Trading Strategies
in the forex currency exchange market is to have profitable forex trading strategies and good money management. Without these two skills, you will certainly fail as a trader and if you master these, you will be a very profitable forex trader.
It sounds so easy, doesn't it? Two simple rules to follow and you will be profitable in this business. The problem with this however, is that most people can't follow these rules. They let their emotions get in the way of their trading and make bad decisions. They may not take any trades at all because they're afraid they'll lose money. They may be in a profitable trade and decide to close it early to lock in their small profits. They may decide to let their losers run longer than they should because they "know" the currency is about to reverse and go in their direction. There are many reasons why people fail in this business and these are just a few of the examples.
Before you start trading, you need to learn about this business. You not only need to learn how and when to trade forex, but you also need to know when "not to trade". This is just as important. You also need to know how much "risk" you should take on any given trade. If you over leverage your account, you will lose money very quickly and you could actually blow your entire trading account.
Once you learn how to trade, the next step would be to open a forex demo trading account. This is the trading platform you would use from the forex broker of your choice to make trades in the market. Most forex brokers have all the charts and tools you need and the platform on which to execute your trades. Demo accounts allow new forex traders to trade fake money while trading the live market. You get to trade on a live trading platform but you risk absolutely no money. There aren't any businesses I know of where you can learn everything you need without costing you a dime.
Demo accounts are a great way for new traders to get a feel for trading the forex market without risking any money. But be careful. When you trade a forex demo account, and you know in your mind that you have no money at risk, you can start making stupid trading decisions. You may use poor money management skills and risk far too much money on each trade. You may double up on trades to make up for losing trades. These are bad habits, and the last thing you want to do in this business is treat it like a game. It's not a game. It's a real business and should be treated as such.
Before getting into trades, you should also know exactly what price you're getting in to the market and also know what your stop loss and take profit targets should be. If you don't know these three things, do not trade. Every profitable forex trading strategy you learn will have the rules for determining these entry and exit points. Also know that a profitable forex trading strategy does not have to be complicated. Most of the best forex trading strategies are very simple to learn and use.
If you follow the simple rules we mentioned above, you will see how profitable this business can be. It's no wonder why trading forex is becoming one of the fastest growing home businesses today. You get to work from your home using your personal computer and an internet connection. Pick up a great forex trading strategy and open up a forex trading account with a broker and you have everything you need to start trading.
Forex Carry Trading
However, even when exploiting interest rate differentials, these are still significant risks to a trader. Obviously, the market can still move against the trader’s position, though the rollover interest adjustments do help mitigate potential losses. Considering that most carryover traders use exceptionally high leverages to exploit interest rate differentials, even a small move against a position can lead to very high loss.
Forex Trading Software
Currency exchange or Forex trading software is some of the most discussed and hot software on the market. What is forex software and what can it accomplish for you?
Numerous people have no idea what the forex market is, although it is growing in popularity. While virtually everyone is aware of the New York Stock Exchange, the forex market or currency exchange market is in reality a lot larger than that, with more than $1 trillion per day being traded. What you’re really trading when you trade in the forex market is foreign currency. You’re betting for one country over the other. The value of a currency relative to another currency moves up and down all the time.
Traders will attempt to estimate whether the currency is moving up or down and make their transactions accordingly. They’ll use numerous different types of statistical information and systems in order to anticipate trends. Once they find a trend that they believe is probable to start to develop, they’ll place an order. They’ll ordinarily follow a set of rules once they are in a trade. They’ll decide at which point they will take the profit and close out of the trade. Then Again, they’ll also establish a limit as to when they will take a loss and close out the trade, which is known as a stop loss.
With so much analyzing and systems, it was merely a matter of time before someone decided to automate the procedure via a software program. Forex trading software was developed to fill this requirement. Forex software is frequently referred to as an Expert Advisor (EA). These EA’s are rampant in the forex world. There are so many of them that you could never try them all out.
EA’s take out the emotion of forex trading. Some people tend to get greedy once they find their trades in profit. They’ll bend their own rules a little bit in order to try and make a bigger profit. Sometimes this can backfire and cost the trader money. Forex trading software will eradicate this problem and follow the rules that you established originally. That is a large advantage when using forex trading software since it is based on the facts and the rules, and is not influenced by emotional decisions.
Recently, various expert advisors have come onto the market with some phenomenal results. Forex Autopilot was one of the most successful EA’s to ever hit the market. There are numerous people that apply this forex software to this day. It trades the Eur/USD pair on the market.
Another wildly popular piece of software is FAP Turbo. It is essentially an improvement on the Forex Autopilot System. It has a great little feature known as a scalper that makes small regular trades for profit. It utilizes this scalper on four different currency pairs including EUR/GBP, EUR/CHF, USD/CAD, and GBP/CHF.
A new addition to the world of forex trading software is the Forex Megadroid robot. It utilizes a new artificial intelligence technology to make its trades.
Global Forex Trading
Experiencing real time trading and dealing is assured with Global forex trading. It offers you the opportunity to get well-off promptly especially if you know the right moves to take. This is the reason that the forex trading market doesn’t sleep. It is open twenty four hours a day, wherein the volume of invested money goes beyond $2 trillion dollars and thus making it the chief and leading competitive platform of market exchange today.
The foremost advantage of online trading is you don’t need to worry about commission fees. Because it is global, you will never be troubled with restrictions – meaning you can take pleasure on your profit opportunities whatever the market condition is. Whether you have small or big capital in your hand, you are definitely eligible to trade online. Global forex trading is not only for huge investors because it allows smaller transactions for traders who may be afraid to invest large amount of money in the start of their trading career.
Because forex trading is seen as a vehicle of making profits easily that’s why full time currency traders, spectators and even hobbyists are continuously increasing in numbers. To become profitable, both pro and amateur traders should make quality analysis of the markets. It’s vital to look at the basic and technical aspects of forex market. If you are really interested in global forex trades, you should consider taking a forex online course that will equip you with paramount tools so you can trade appropriately and become rich real soon.
Forex Trading Tools
A trader with sound knowledge of currency trading can earn substantial profit in forex market. Along with the knowledge of trading, he should have access to a few tools of forex trading. The article talks about importance of online forex trading and tools in forex trading.
Forex is the largest and most happening financial market of the world. It is the venue where one currency is traded for the other. The market place is distinguished from the rest because of its high trading volume and geographical dispersion. A trader with sound knowledge of currency trading can earn substantial profit in forex market. Along with the knowledge of trading, he should have access to a few tools of forex trading. These tools are made to strengthen the confidence of a trader and can prove out to be a great help for a winning currency trading in forex.
Being an awakened trader of forex market, you should remain aware about every latest happening of currency trading. Therefore, it’s important for you to have access to daily forex trading summary for important currencies and currency pairs. Add to this, a weekly forex trading summary is also beneficial as it will encompass detailed analysis of your sought subject. Tools that help you to access and monitor the interest rates, financial calendar, glossary database are also worthwhile.
Apart from the above, there are several other tools of currency trading available around you. Several software containing detailed analysis and information about currency trading are also available at your disposal. All these tools and software packs are important for a successful forex trading. With access to such tools, a trader can easily execute his trading. Now, how to get these tools easily and satisfactorily? Well, it’s easy.
With the availability of internet, you need not to get out of your home to access these tools and software packs. Just a single click and you can access valuable information and tools regarding currency trading in forex. Several online forex firms have been established only to offer you tools and software packs for forex trading. Some of them may charge money from you to download or access the software packs and tools. If you are not at all interested to cut your pocket, go for those forex firms, who offer free download facility.
Online forex firms are beneficial in many ways. They not only offer you currency trading tools and software but also keen to give you an insight into the latest incidents of forex market. They also publish economic reports and influential topics on their websites with an aim to update a trader about what matter in currency trading. You can also access live charts of the forex market and trading secrets from such online firms. These forex firms are usually run by experienced professional, who own years of experience in currency trading. So, you can trust them.
Thus trading in forex market has become easy with the availability of tools and software packs. And the advent of internet has made it easier. Today any one from any corner of the world can access forex trading tools for simplifying his currency trading
Forex Trading Strategy
The Forex market is considered to be the largest exchange market in the world. It’s fast gaining popularity as there is great possibility of earning huge profits. However, whether you are a newcomer or a seasoned trader, without a sound Forex trading strategy to guide you, you will be floundering around in the dark. Imagine a blind person trying to cross a busy intersection; that too without anybody to guide him – get the picture, huh?
If you are still wondering why you need a strategy, read on to find out.
Guides you onto the Right Path
When you become a trader, it is important to be consistent. A routine is essential in this respect. Once you have a routine and follow it diligently, you will have a better shot at being successful. That routine you seek for will be provided by a good Forex trading strategy. It will also help you measure your success and see what you’ve achieved at the end of the day. Without a routine, you cannot stay on track of your goals, and get results consistently. Besides having a strategy also means that you’ll inculcate a business mindset and bring in some professionalism to your trading.
Helps to minimize Losses
For the unprepared man, the Forex Market will hold very little attraction. Without a good Forex trading strategy, he will not be able to make much headway or profit, and he is bound to get frustrated. If you attempt to trade in currencies blindly, without any clue as to what and why you are doing, you can give up any hope of striking it rich! Read my words clearly, lack of strategy is equal to financial losses. Therefore, to make the best of your investment, formulate a strategy and stick by it.
Helps you sharpen your Trading Skills
Making errors in the Forex market is a luxury that is afforded only by newbies, since they invest relatively small amounts of money. If you want to be a seasoned trader, there is very little room for error. With the help of a Forex trading strategy you can sharpen your trading skills and try and hone it to perfection. Once you’ve set a plan for yourself, you can try and modify it according to the different situations you come across. Think of your strategy as the foundation on which your trading skills rest. Once you have a solid foundation, you can alter the exteriors of the building with ease.
The Essentials of a Good Strategy
Now that you know the importance of a Forex trading strategy, you need to know what goes into its making. These following points will elaborate what a good strategy is all about.
• Identify your goals and make them realistic
• Fix a time when you will sit down to analyze the market and plan out the trade. Along with this, also decide when you are going to transact and observe the market
• How often are you going to check the market and at what specific times?
• What’s the maximum percentage that you can afford to risk on each transaction?
• How many lots are you planning to trade?
Forex Trading Basics
Once you become somewhat familiar with how the forex market works, and you understand to a point what is involved in trading on the Foreign Exchange Market, you would want to start to gauge market trends in order to profit from your business ventures on the open markets.
Forex trading is a lot like gambling. If you can keep track of the cards that have already been played, you are more informed, statistically, regarding what is likely to be dealt next, meaning you can place a bet with greater insight than someone who has not clue what has already been played. With the forex market, if you have information as to what has already occurred over the past few days, months, or even years, you are again place in a better position to more logically conclude what will happen next. You simply learn the pattern and follow it to the end, reaping the financial rewards.
With a lot of traders gradually becoming aware of these forex bots, many of them have attested to the marketing advantage of these forex indicators. One of the trademarks of these forex autopilots is that it facilitates the monitoring of forex market even if a trader is inactive. This calls for an incessant 24/7 monitoring with forex signal coming in real time as a means of updating a traders of the next best thing to employ.
Self study is also a good way to learn Forex basic and advanced strategies. Again, if you have chosen an excellent Forex broker, you can get lots of reading materials and online resources from it. You can still do this yourself and search for good online articles that could teach yours how to trade at the Forex market. Simply visit any article database site and browse for topics about Forex. Choose the ones that provide detailed instructions on how to trade currencies. This is also the best way to learn Forex trading for free.
The next best things to do to learn forex is to look for different forex strategies. If you’re a kind of trader who wants to put a limit to his trade, then you better employ the stop loss strategy. Those who are open for supplementary funds and resources apart from the deposited amounts can go for the leverage strategy. And, those traders who are only into buying currencies when the market is at its favorable state can go for the automatic entry strategy. All these and more should be a trader’s way of dealing in this kind of market. You can also learn forex from forex brokers. However, you have to ensure that you’re dealing with a legitimate one and be wiser enough to outwit swindlers.
As a final point, you can learn forex and be rich only if you know how to appositely handle and maintain your status in the forex market. As the rule implies, know when the best time to trade to create streams of income and the time not to trade to avoid profit loss. It is as simple as that.
Friday, November 13, 2009
AUTOMATIC TRADING
This is one thing that I hate most. A lot of people asking for my trading system. I know what they are going to do with it. They will take the hard work of many years, code it into an expert advisor and let it run on automatic trade.
For those of you who already has a succesfull system, you may share similliar view. Unfortunately for those who are still looking for a profitable way to trade, this is one of their easiest option. I dont blame them, creating a profitable system is not an easy task. It takes years to develop and test a system with no guarantee of success.
For those of you still looking for a way to be profitable in forex, there are system available on the internet. One of them is Zulutrade. Zulutrade is a place where signal providers (like me) test out their trade system with thousands of traders. It like a competition for traders. Good news is people can open an account and pick which signal providers they want to auto trade their account. Best thing is, its free. Yes, its free. You dont have to pay 30% of your profit to your account manager.
I personally never have used their system but am trying to register as a signal provider. Those of you can try it out if you want. All you have to do is open an account with them. Fund the account and pick which signal providers you want. Dont take my word for it. You have to go to Zulutrade and investigate yourself. Remember its your money.
RANGING MARKET
For the past 2 weeks, forex has enter the ranging mode. Ive been busy with work since I have a day time job. Merdeka celebration is coming and I am going to be extra busy. Next week I am going to KL. As for forex, this week is not so good for me. All my technical is correct just that being unlucky sometimes. My position of long GU and GJ both hit SL on the last dip. I can never imagine it can go down that much. Thanks for EG, I manage to cover my lost and made a little profit. Back to technical analysis, GJ has made it top at 244.06 and there is a reversal sign. GU it seems has not reached it top. There is some room to go before a reversal can be considered. Look for formation of double top and watch out for its strength. Im not going to give signal since I do not have time to trade. If I do enter the market it would be touch and go or thru stop order with sl (which is very difficult to judge).
HOW THE MARKET MOVE
After looking at charts for over 1 year now, I have made a conclusion on how the market move. It may differ from other people point of view but at least this is how I made profit or loss in Forex Market. The Market generally move once or the most twice a day. That is how much Forex market move. There is no point on being stuck in front of the pc the whole day since it will only move once. If you dont belive me look at any pair in timeframe 1 hour or less. Forex doesnt move in straight line but it has a tendency of moving to a particular direction in a zig zag motion. The idea is to develop a system or set of indicators that will give you an entry early enough for you to profit when the market makes its move. There is no way you can tell the move before its moving. The price must move at least a little to a particular direction before you signal is triggered. Then you enter the market and take the remaining move. The system must only give you signal once a day or twice the most. Because its a daily trade dont expect much. Sometimes condition are bad even 5 pip is enough. You must remember that if you are trading less than 1 billion you are small fish in the sea. Take what you need and leave or else get eaten by the big fish. In developing the system that will take advantage of Forex movement characteristic, I sense that I have succeeded. I have a system that will give signal only once a day or twice the most. Like most Forex system in the world, there are difficulty finding the right entry and exit point. An entry and exit that will give you the most out of the move before it will retrace. In the end, its about how and when you enter. There are no room for mistakes here since mistakes are costly. From the very 1st trade you make till the last trade, the risks are all the same. Experience is an advantage but its not an insurance. Once everything turns bad, there is no saving you.
TRADING THE DAILY CHARTS
Due to restricted time and Internet connection that I have now, I have opted to trading using the daily charts. Its not as aggressive and thrilling as trading on the shorter time frame but the result is about the same minus the headache. I'm beginning to like daily trading. I need to make decision once in a while and the rest of the time I just hold my position. On a daily chart, the candlestick is much easier to read and pattern is much clearer. On 13th August I opened 3 position. 2 of which is still holding while 1 has been closed. At the moment all position are in profit. Daily trading is not for everyone. It took me sometime to adjust on the requirements of daily trading, but once you are there you never look back. Till next time, good luck everyone